A Filtered Renewal Process as a Model for a River Flow

نویسنده

  • MARIO LEFEBVRE
چکیده

Various models, based on a filtered Poisson process, are used for the flow of a river. The aim is to forecast the next peak value of the flow, given that another peak was observed not too long ago. The most realistic model is the one when the time between the successive peaks does not have an exponential distribution, as is often assumed. An application to the Delaware River, in the USA, is presented.

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تاریخ انتشار 2005